Analytics & Insights.

Analytics, insights, and ideas on how people, systems, and technology evolve together. Where strategy meets practice, exploring the workforce, change management, and the future of work.

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Beta Insights.

Beta Analytics.

The Great Stay Dashboard.

Tracking the macro unfreeze against the lived experience.
2010s NORMAL RANGE3.2%2.8%2.4%2.0%1.6%202220232024202520261.9% · Aug 2026Great Resignation peak, Nov 2021 · 3.0%QUITS RATE · MONTHLY, SEASONALLY ADJUSTED · BLS JOLTS
Interpretation · October 2026

The market is unfreezing — the experience is not.

01

Quits rate held at 1.9% in July and August, two months running below the 2010s normal range. The Great Stay is real but it’s increasingly turning into a shift, not an unfreeze. Workers are staying put — not by choice, but by conditions.

02

Reported job openings sit near the 2010s norm, not above it. That baseline is the story: employers are listing like it’s a normal market, but hiring rates say they’re not actually moving. The gap between listing and hiring is where the signal gets loud.

03

The gap between data and experience. Jobs data can look good at the macro level. This is the mainstream media take. But the micro experience of each applicant can still be frustrating, demoralizing, and often painful. Both truths can coexist. Quits rate is part of the story; I’ll explore more.

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Sources: BLS JOLTS, Employment Situation Report.

Field notes.

001

When the Solution Is the Failure

September 2026
002

The Employee Journey and Manager Value

September 2026
003

Cognition In Organizations With Mature AI Adoption

September 2026
The Signal

The most dangerous thing for a leader isn't a high turnover rate. It’s a workforce that is too afraid to leave and too exhausted to stay.

— Karida Palmer

Read the source field note →